In 2009, James Carville, the Democrat’s “Ragin’ Cajun,” wrote 40 More Years: How the Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation. It was the heyday of liberal Democrat ascendancy.
“A Democratic majority is emerging,” Carville declared. “This majority will guarantee that the Democrats remain in power for the next forty years.”
When it comes to politics, nothing is forever. We’re celebrating the 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall. Let’s not forget the collapse of the Iron Curtain and withering away of the Soviet Union.
Carville claimed that his number one reason for a long-term Democrat majority is “the historically diverse, historically Democratic young people who will be the foundation for a lasting Democratic majority.” What Carville failed to factor in to his equation was that young people grow up and look for jobs.
A college student voting for Obama in 2008 has graduated. Talk is cheap. Having to pay back tens of thousands of dollars in student loans while working at a minimum-wage job — still living at home with mom and dad — breeds cynicism, contempt, and disillusionment.
Now we’re learning that it’s even worse for the democrats than the initial election results show. The following is from Aaron Blake of the Washington Post. I’ll give the usually liberal paper kudos for being honest enough to report the story since it most likely will lead to even more demoralization among rank and filed Democrats:
“Republicans had a very good Nov. 4; this much we know.
“But merely looking at the GOP’s likely nine-seat gain the Senate and its double-digit gains in the House doesn’t really do its wave justice.
“While the GOP is likely to control 54 percent of all Senate seats and 56 percent (or so) of the House come January, it also will now control more than two-thirds of state legislative chambers across the country — as in nearly seven in 10. And given Republicans also won at least 31 governorships, they are basically in control of the state government in 24 states. That could soon hit 25if they win the still-undetermined governor’s race in Alaska.
“No, state legislatures aren’t the sexiest things in the world. But as a means for demonstrating a national wave, they’re about as pure an indicator as you get. That’s because they’re the lowest-profile office (i.e. people vote the party more than anything) that is pretty uniform across the country. And as of today, the GOP is dominating in an unprecedented way.”
Take a look at this 2014 midterm election map from the National Conference of State Legislatures to put things into visual perspective:
Now if only these Republicans would actually vote in a way different from the Democrats.
What Republicans don’t have is the courts. What the states give, the courts can take away as we’ve seen repeatedly with the same-sex marriage issue.
This is why the presidency is so important. Of course, there’s no guarantee that a GOP-appointed judge will stay the course over time (something we’ve already seen), but the percentages do add up.