The famous author of 1984, George Orwell, once pointed out, “Whoever is winning at the moment will always seem to be invincible.”
Up until the first presidential debate, somehow the feeling was successfully spread into the populace that Obama and the Democrats were invincible. It seemed like nothing could stop his victory and that Romney didn’t know how to campaign for the presidency.
And now, overnight, it has all changed and no talk of taking “the hammer” to “Big Bird” can change it back. Politico has admitted that “President Barack Obama has a worsening enthusiasm problem.”
Only 73 percent who support Obama say they are “extremely likely” to vote, compared to 86 percent who back Romney. Likewise, 84 percent of Republicans say they are extremely likely to vote, compared to 76 percent of Democrats.
Among those extremely likely to vote, Romney actually leads Obama 52 percent to 46 percent. That’s up from a 2-point lead last week. Obama led 50 percent to 47 percent among this group three weeks ago.
Overall, the polls are still close. Also, no one can be sure how much we can trust polls. Orwell’s dictum is also a warning to Romney and others to not get over-confident. They have to keep working.
But the fact that Obama is not able to attract enthusiasm is good news about the culture.
It means that despite what we are told about the popularity of legal abortion, Obama’s promises of free abortions and employee-mandated birth control have not been popular enough to ensure victory for his side.
It means that despite all the problems in the healthcare bubble, voters are not yet such fools as to believe that Obamacare is something to get excited about.
It means that despite the horrors of the end of the housing bubble, people still know that the State cannot replace the market as the place where prosperity is produced.
It means that a guy who talks about spreading the wealth and how he believes in redistribution is not able to visibly convince a majority of Americans that his way is the right way.
Of course, no one should be over confident. We don’t know all this for certain until the election results are in. But it is encouraging to know that American culture has not been so debauched by abortion, welfare handouts, and statism, that Obama is able to easily win a majority. When people are confronted with a confident alternative, many still see the folly of Obama’s vision.