The 2012 presidential race between incumbent Barack Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney is predicted to be a much closer race than it was in 2008 with John McCain. Many eyes are watching the numbers in key swing states and these may end up deciding the final outcome.
A month ago, Obama held leads in most of the swing states just as he held the lead in most national polls. But as we enter the hot summer months, the two campaigns are also heating up and someone’s numbers appear to be succumbing to the scorching temperatures of America’s voters.
For example, look at the numbers for Wisconsin. According to the Rasmussen Report, Obama was leading Romney 52% to 41% in March. Last month, Obama’s lead shrank to a 49% to 45% lead. In the latest figures released by them, Romney now leads 47% to Obama’s 44%.
Some attribute this to the recent victory of Republican Governor Scott Walker over a bid to recall him. More significant is the fact that in 2008, Obama won Wisconsin by 14% of the vote over McCain.
The same trend is starting to show in other swing states.
In Missouri, Romney now leads Obama 49% to 42%.
In Iowa, Romney has climbed from a deficit to a narrow 47% to 46% over Obama.
In one of the key swing states, Ohio voters are now giving Romney a narrow 46% to 44% lead over Obama.
While these numbers are still too close to really make an impact this far out from the November election, it is encouraging to see the scales tipping to the Republican side in some of these swing states. According to Scott Rasmussen, the only thing that could save Obama at this point in the game is for the economy to suddenly make a remarkable recovery and he really doesn’t see that happening anytime soon.
Let’s hope and pray that the latest Rasmussen numbers are just the tip of iceberg and that as the summer swelters on, Romney’s number will continue to climb and heat up and Obama’s will be cooled off and eventually melt away.