Will Another Conservative Party Insure a Democratic Victory in 2016?

Like many other registered Republicans, I’ve become very disillusioned by the GOP leaders in Congress.  Speaker of the House John Boehner is supposed to be the leader of the Republican Party in the House of Representatives.  However, on more than one occasion, Boehner has betrayed his fellow Republicans by selling out to President Obama and the Democrats.  When a sizable number of freshman Representatives insisted on standing their ground on what they promised their constituents, Boehner went behind their backs to compromise with the liberal left.

The Gang of 8 and their immigration reform bill is another shining example of Republicans siding with the liberals instead of doing what’s best for America.  Senators John McCain and Jeff Flake, both from my home state of Arizona, were among the gang that championed giving citizenship and rights to over 11 million illegals.  Their benefits that will be paid out to the illegals will far outweigh the tax revenues recouped from them.  Giving them a road to citizenship also flies in the face of the millions of immigrants who have gone through the process to become American citizens.  I have close friends that tell me how offensive and insulting the immigration reform bill is to them.

The Libertarian Party gained a number of registered voters in the last election, most of which were conservative Republicans that have lost faith in their Party leadership.  In the 2012 election, the Libertarian Party drew 1,275,951 votes, not enough to have made a difference, but it would have brought the totals a little closer.

However, in 1992, a third party candidate did make the difference in the outcome of the election.  Republican incumbent George H.W. Bush received 39,104,550 votes, Democratic challenger Bill Clinton received 44,909,806 votes and Independent Party candidate Ross Perot received 19,743,821 votes.  Many Republicans were concerned the federal deficit and the government being run by professional politicians, so they voted for businessman Ross Perot instead of Bush.

Had Ross not run as a third party candidate, Bush would have been re-elected.  Had Bush been elected, Clinton would not have been in the White House which means that he would not have forced the mortgage industry to open their doors to all of the innovative mortgages.  It was these mortgages that eventually caused the collapse of the housing and mortgage markets which led to the collapse of the economy and job market and put us in the mess we’re in today.

Now, Sarah Palin, former Alaskan Governor and Vice Presidential candidate, is talking about leaving the Republican Party and starting a new conservative political party.  Appearing on Fox News Saturday, Palin was asked by someone on Twitter if she and Mark Levin, a conservative commentator for Fox News, would be willing to start a new Freedom Party if the GOP continues to stray from its conservative base.  Palin replied:

“I love the name of that party: the Freedom Party.  And if the GOP continues to back away from the planks in our platform, from the principles that built this party of Lincoln and Reagan, then yeah.”

“I think there will be a lot of us who start saying, ‘GOP, if you abandon us, we have nowhere else to go except to become more independent and not enlisted in one or the other private majority parties that rule in our nation, either a Democrat or a Republican.'”

Some are already saying that Palin leaving the GOP would be a good thing, but I’m not so sure.  There are a growing number of conservative Republicans that, like Palin, are becoming more and more disillusioned by the increased liberalness of the GOP.  Palin and the Freedom Party could easily start to attract a number of these unhappy Republicans, just like Perot did in 1992.  If the Tea Party joined in and began recruiting for the Freedom Party, who’s to say how many registered voters they could attract and how much of a difference it could make in 2014.

The more factions that split off from the GOP, the weaker it becomes, which only serves to help strengthen the Democrats and their hold on the White House and Senate.  As much as I don’t like what the GOP has been doing of late, I’m just not too sure if splitting into more fringe parties is the best solution.  The way I look at it, the GOP minus Libertarians minus Freedom Party equals Democratic victory in 2016.