The Odds of Hard Drives Crashing and Winning the Lottery

The following was sent to me. It’s been making it’s way around the internet. But when have liberals ever paid attention to math as the national debt shows?

“The story of former IRS official Lois Lerner’s computer crash continues to get more interesting. Word now comes that the IRS abruptly cancelled its long-time contract with Sonasoft, an email-archiving company, which would have stored Lerner’s emails on its servers.

So here’s the math:

  • The odds of winning the Florida lottery are 1 in 22,957,480.
  • The odds of winning the Powerball is 1 in 175,223,510.
  • The odds of winning Mega Millions is 1 in 258,890,850.


  • The odds of a disk drive failing in any given month are roughly one in 36. The odds of two different drives failing in the same month are roughly one in 36 squared, or 1 in
    about 1,300.
  • The odds of three drives failing in the same month is 36 cubed or 1 in 46,656.
  •  The odds of seven different drives failing in the same month (like what happened at the IRS when they received a letter asking about emails targeting conservative and pro-Israeli groups) is 36 to the 7th power = 1 in 78,664,164,096. That’s over 1 in 78 Billion!

In other words, the odds are greater that you will win the Florida Lottery 342 times than having those seven IRS hard drives crashing in the same month.

And the odds of some democrats telling the truth are even higher.

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