With the midterm general election six months away, a variety of polls indicate that a number of Democrats need to start packing their bags and sending out resumes. A week ago I wrote about the latest Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor Poll that indicated troubles ahead for Democrats that are still riding on Barack Obama’s political coattails.
Now an even more popular poll that gets a lot of national attention is casting a shadow of doom on Democratic control in this year’s midterm elections. Pew Research’s latest findings are spelling more gloom and doom for Democrats.
When asked if they support or lean towards Republican or Democratic candidates in their area, 47% said they are leaning towards the GOP and 43% lean or favor the Democratic candidates. The significance of these figures can be seen when compared with the polls taken at this time in 2006 and 2010 midterm elections.
In 2006, 41% leaned toward the GOP and 51% leaned Democrat. That year, Democrats had a net gain of 6 Senate seats and 31 House seats.
In 2010, 44% leaned toward the GOP and 44% leaned Democrat. That year, Republicans had a net gain of 6 Senate seats and 63 House seats.
Based on those results, this year could see the Republicans take over control of the Senate and retain control of the House.
Further evidence of Obama’s fall from grace can be seen in another question asked by Pew and USA Today pollsters. Both Democrats and Republicans were asked if their midterm votes were an indication of their support for Obama. In 2010, 47% of Democrats said their midterm votes were a support for Obama, but in 2014 that number dropped to only 31%.
On the flip side, in 2010, 42% of the Republicans said their midterm votes were cast against Obama. In 2014, that number increased to 46% of Republican voters said their votes are against Obama.
When asked about the economy, 43% of the voters said that they believe the economy would improve over the next several years under Republican leaders in Congress. Only 39% of voters said it would improve under the Obama administration.
When asked about keeping or changing the policies of the current administration, the results also showed trouble for Democrats. In 2006, 70% of those polled said they wanted the policies of the Bush administration changed. The 2006 election was a sweeping victory for Democrats and two years later Obama won the White House. The current poll showed that 65% of voters want the policies of the Obama administration changed.
When you add up all of the different results and compare them to the past couple midterm elections, it spells gloom and doom for Democrats come November. A number of them should start writing their resumes and sending them out as soon as possible. Hopefully, two of them will be Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi.