A new Quinnipiac poll just released finds that the Democrats have lost their huge generic ballot advantage as more and more voters come to understand that the hate-filled, partisan political climate in the U.S. today has been created by the Democrats.
In recent polls the Republicans were losing in the generic ballot — that is when respondents are asked which party they prefer without being asked about any particular candidates. In some polls the Democrats were leading by 14 points or more. So, it was clear that results had been showing that the GOP was at a general disadvantage going into the 2018 midterms coming up in November.
But, the new poll finds that big advantage has been about cut in half. According to the chart at Real Clear Politics, Quinnipiac now shows the Democrats up by plus seven instead of plus fourteen.
The polling outfit explains:
Five weeks before the Midterm Elections, 49 percent of American voters back the Democratic candidate in their local race for the U.S. House of Representatives and 42 percent support the Republican candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today.
This compares to the results of a September 12 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University National Poll, showing Democrats with a 52 – 38 percent lead. …
“The numbers suggest the big blue wave may have lost some of its momentum as House races tighten. President Donald Trump’s approval remains deeply in the red,” said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
As Ed Morrissey notes at HotAir, “this is the lowest level polled for Democrats in the Quinnipiac series since at least the first week of July, after which they have remained at 50% or above until now. It also ties the highest level achieved by Republicans in the series from mid-August.”
The poll was conducted on Sept. 27-30 just as the nation was dealing with the fallout from the Sept. 27 testimony of Christine Blasey Ford and the reply by Supreme Court candidate Judge Brett Kavanaugh. With that in mind, Morrissey asks a key question about these results.
Does this represent a Kavanaugh effect? The polling for this took place between Thursday and Sunday, meaning that three of the four days came after the televised hearings in which Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford testified, a hearing obsessively covered by the national news media. One might have expected Democrats to get a bump coming out of that hearing, especially given the tenor of the coverage it received. Instead, the momentum shifted in the other direction even among the wider population. It’s tough to directly correlate that to Kavanaugh, since Quinnipiac didn’t bother to ask any questions on the issue, but it’s tough to assume that it had no impact either.
The question is even more pertinent when it is seen that “Seventy-five percent of respondents say that Dianne Feinstein should have immediately turned the letter over to the committee rather than sit on it. Sixty-nine percent of respondents called the hearing “a national disgrace,” with 55% concluding that Democrats have been “completely partisan” in their handling of Kavanaugh.”
These are all extremely bad numbers for the Democrats.
It is starting to look as if the Democrat Party’s delay tactics and its seek and destroy mission is backfiring, big time.
Follow Warner Todd Huston on Twitter @warnerthuston.