Hot under the collar? Temper flaring?
Relax, it’s not your fault.
It’s global warming.
It sounds like there should be a rim shot in there, but a supposedly serious, recently released study claims to find a connection between climate change and muggings, rapes, beatings, even wars.
The U.S. scientists claim that minor changes in rainfall or temperature correlate with higher rates of all sorts of violence, so if we don’t do “something” (the activist’s favorite word) about global warming, the world will just be awash in violence, like it isn’t already.
Part of the study, which is really a compilation of other studies, documents a known phenomenon, that violence does increase when it’s warm. Cops have known this forever.
Some of the specific data included a rise in wife beatings during droughts in India, and a general increase in violent crimes in the U.S. during heat waves.
The current study looked at 60 other studies from around the globe and spanning supposedly several hundred years looking for a violence-climate link.
Marshall Burke, from (where else?) the University of California, Berkeley, said, “This is a relationship we observe across time and across all major continents around the world. The relationship we find between these climate variables and conflict outcomes are often very large.”
The majority of the data can be explained by what a law enforcement acquaintance once termed “the lizard factor.” Her theory was that most creeps are cold-blooded, so they are most active when the weather is hot.
What this study does, however, is take that known phenomenon and try to link it to climate change, which hasn’t even occurred in at least 15 years.
Leftist dreams of a warming “hiatus” aside, the link is tenuous. Even Burke admits that weather is not a direct link in cases such as drought, where economic effects of dying crops create stress that is the most immediate cause of domestic violence.
That doesn’t stop the study’s authors from projecting dire results from global warming (if it ever shows up). The authors estimate that a 3.6 degree Fahrenheit increase in global temps would translate into a 15 percent increase in crimes and up to a 50 percent increase in group conflicts.
Dr. Halvard Buhaug from the Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway, doubted the study’s conclusions, saying there are many other factors involved in violence that the study didn’t consider.
He said, “I disagree with the sweeping conclusion (the authors) draw and believe that their strong statement about a general causal link between climate and conflict is unwarranted by the empirical analysis that they provide. I was surprised to see not a single reference to a real-world conflict that plausibly would not have occurred in the absence of observed climatic extremes. If the authors wish to claim a strong causal link, providing some form of case validation is critical.”
Hoping to see actual proof in any study having to do with global warming may just be wishful thinking.
Some people who use the title “scientist” are more interested in scoring political points than actual science.
Maybe the Left can get the first carbon exchange named after Trayvon.